Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000531 0.000614 0.000703 0.000805 0.000918 0.001039 0.001178
2025-06-29 0.000396 0.000508 0.000638 0.000796 0.000983 0.001196 0.001453
2025-07-06 0.000320 0.000442 0.000590 0.000779 0.001013 0.001287 0.001632
2025-07-13 0.000278 0.000409 0.000576 0.000798 0.001080 0.001422 0.001863
2025-07-20 0.000244 0.000381 0.000561 0.000810 0.001135 0.001540 0.002074
2025-07-27 0.000209 0.000346 0.000533 0.000801 0.001161 0.001620 0.002236
2025-08-03 0.000178 0.000312 0.000504 0.000786 0.001176 0.001682 0.002376
2025-08-10 0.000159 0.000294 0.000494 0.000795 0.001221 0.001785 0.002569
2025-08-17 0.000141 0.000275 0.000479 0.000796 0.001254 0.001871 0.002741
2025-08-24 0.000119 0.000246 0.000448 0.000770 0.001247 0.001901 0.002838
2025-08-31 0.000101 0.000221 0.000420 0.000746 0.001240 0.001930 0.002932
2025-09-07 0.000089 0.000206 0.000407 0.000744 0.001263 0.002000 0.003084
2025-09-14 0.000078 0.000193 0.000394 0.000742 0.001288 0.002074 0.003245
2025-09-21 0.000068 0.000177 0.000377 0.000731 0.001300 0.002130 0.003380
2025-09-28 0.000058 0.000161 0.000358 0.000716 0.001302 0.002170 0.003495
2025-10-05 0.000054 0.000157 0.000359 0.000733 0.001355 0.002287 0.003720
2025-10-12 0.000049 0.000151 0.000356 0.000744 0.001398 0.002389 0.003927
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000140 0.000343 0.000736 0.001410 0.002444 0.004065
2025-10-26 0.000037 0.000128 0.000327 0.000722 0.001411 0.002483 0.004179
2025-11-02 0.000033 0.000123 0.000324 0.000731 0.001450 0.002579 0.004381
2025-11-09 0.000030 0.000117 0.000317 0.000732 0.001476 0.002656 0.004554
2025-11-16 0.000025 0.000105 0.000298 0.000707 0.001457 0.002662 0.004620
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000094 0.000280 0.000685 0.001440 0.002670 0.004689